Rumors from Chechnya
I was recently reading an old site that I picked up while I was still in the army. It was one of my "Know Your Enemies" sites. In this case the website is the PR front for the Chechen "Freedom Fighters". (Which can also be read as "Psycho Terrorist Loons")
On Aug 5 the posted an article announcing that their agents had uncovered a Russian Plan to crush Georgia. It would involve huge rocket attack intended to kill Saakashvili and most of the other government leaders followed by the installation of a pro Russian government. The whole thing was to be set off by the Russians arranging the "liquidation" of Eduard Kokoity, the head of the South Ossetian government. His death would be blamed on Georgia and used as the pretext for the Russian attack.
Is it going to happen? Probably not. But it certainly is a plausible scenario. What would the West do? Probably "sternly scold" Moscow again like they did last time. Would anyone help Georgia? Well, the Chechens would. Other than that, probably not. the only folks who might, and this would get real interesting, would be Ukraine, which has a vested interest in not allowing Russia to re assert itself in the area. And that is a scenario to give military planners in the west real nightmares. (Even more so if Ukraine got backed up by someone like Poland which also has a vested interest in not seeing a return of the Russian empire.)
Incidentally, this whole thing is supposed to kick off between the 12 and 15 of August. Watch the news.....
On Aug 5 the posted an article announcing that their agents had uncovered a Russian Plan to crush Georgia. It would involve huge rocket attack intended to kill Saakashvili and most of the other government leaders followed by the installation of a pro Russian government. The whole thing was to be set off by the Russians arranging the "liquidation" of Eduard Kokoity, the head of the South Ossetian government. His death would be blamed on Georgia and used as the pretext for the Russian attack.
Is it going to happen? Probably not. But it certainly is a plausible scenario. What would the West do? Probably "sternly scold" Moscow again like they did last time. Would anyone help Georgia? Well, the Chechens would. Other than that, probably not. the only folks who might, and this would get real interesting, would be Ukraine, which has a vested interest in not allowing Russia to re assert itself in the area. And that is a scenario to give military planners in the west real nightmares. (Even more so if Ukraine got backed up by someone like Poland which also has a vested interest in not seeing a return of the Russian empire.)
Incidentally, this whole thing is supposed to kick off between the 12 and 15 of August. Watch the news.....
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